Liga MXFinal
Cruz Azul WinCruz Azul vs Guadalajara Prediction · Match Result
Best odds
2.90
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.90u
Graded on Cruz Azul 3-2 Guadalajara
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Cruz Azul Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.90
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Cruz Azul 3-2 Guadalajara
Why the model called it
Cruz Azul, playing at home, has a strong home win rate of approximately 67%, significantly higher than their overall win rate of 59%. This suggests a robust home advantage, which is crucial in soccer. Despite the higher odds offered for Guadalajara at 3.7, indicating a less likely win, Cruz Azul's consistent performance at home makes them the more probable victors in this matchup. Betting on the home team in this scenario aligns with their demonstrated ability to capitalize on home fixtures in Liga MX.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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