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Best odds
2.66
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Derby County 1-0 Birmingham City

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Birmingham City Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 72/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.66
Result
Lost
Graded score
Derby County 1-0 Birmingham City

Why the model called it

History

Birmingham City look best placed to win this Derby County showdown. The market lines them as the favorite, with the strongest implied probability among the three outcomes. There’s some disagreement across bookmakers (draw and Derby can’t be ruled out), but the aggregate signal is clear. In the Championship, a confident favorite can still squeeze through in a tight fixture like this.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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