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Best odds
2.46
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Middlesbrough Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.46
Result
Lost
Graded score
Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough

Why the model called it

History

Middlesbrough shows a stronger form this season with an overall win rate of 57.14%, compared to their performance away from home which is slightly lower but still robust at 45.45%. The odds of 2.46 for Middlesbrough against Derby County, who are offered at 3.25, suggest that the market also leans towards an away win. Considering both the statistical edge and market sentiment, Middlesbrough is more likely to secure a victory in this Championship clash. Always consider the risks and bet responsibly.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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