Middlesbrough WinDerby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction · Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Middlesbrough Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.46
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Derby County 1-0 Middlesbrough
Why the model called it
Middlesbrough shows a stronger form this season with an overall win rate of 57.14%, compared to their performance away from home which is slightly lower but still robust at 45.45%. The odds of 2.46 for Middlesbrough against Derby County, who are offered at 3.25, suggest that the market also leans towards an away win. Considering both the statistical edge and market sentiment, Middlesbrough is more likely to secure a victory in this Championship clash. Always consider the risks and bet responsibly.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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