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Best odds
1.91
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.91u

Graded on Derby County 2-0 Stoke City

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Derby County Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 80/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.91
Result
Won
Graded score
Derby County 2-0 Stoke City

Why the model called it

History

Derby County are the clear favorite at home. The market backs them around 1.86–1.91 with strong consensus, while Stoke City are priced much longer and the draw sits in the mid-3s with some disagreement. The combination of home advantage and decisive market backing makes a Derby victory the most likely outcome. In this league, the home side often controls pace in tight fixtures.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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