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Best odds
1.61
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.61u

Graded on Elversberg 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Elversberg Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.61
Result
Won
Graded score
Elversberg 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Why the model called it

History

Elversberg, playing at home, shows a strong form with a home win rate of 57.14% and an overall win rate of 60%, compared to Fortuna Düsseldorf's away win rate of 42.86% and a lower overall win rate of 26.67%. The odds of 1.61 for Elversberg further solidify their position as favorites in this matchup. Given these statistics and the significant disparity in performance, Elversberg is more likely to secure a win in this Bundesliga 2 match. Always consider the risks and bet responsibly.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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