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Best odds
2.52
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Alemannia Aachen

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Erzgebirge Aue Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.52
Result
Lost
Graded score
Erzgebirge Aue 1-3 Alemannia Aachen

Why the model called it

History

Erzgebirge Aue emerges as the favorite in this matchup, with the market giving them a slight edge at around 38% normalized probability. The odds have been shortening, indicating increasing market confidence in their chances. Despite some disagreement among bookmakers, the strong consensus on their lower median odds compared to Alemannia Aachen suggests a more solid backing. In the competitive environment of Germany's 3. Liga, home advantage often plays a crucial role, which could further support Aue's chances.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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