Won+1.21u
Graded on Famalicão 1-2 Braga
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Braga Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.21
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Famalicão 1-2 Braga
Why the model called it
Braga, despite playing away, is favored with odds of 2.21 compared to Famalicão's 3.7. This suggests a stronger overall team performance and confidence from the market. Famalicão's home win rate of about 33% further supports the likelihood of a Braga win, as it indicates struggles in securing victories even with home advantage. Given these factors, Braga appears to be the more probable victor in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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