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Best odds
2.33
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.33u

Graded on FC Energie Cottbus 3-2 MSV Duisburg

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FC Energie Cottbus Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.33
Result
Won
Graded score
FC Energie Cottbus 3-2 MSV Duisburg

Why the model called it

History

FC Energie Cottbus shows a strong home advantage with a win rate of 62.5% at home, which is significant when compared to MSV Duisburg's away win rate of 37.5%. Despite the higher overall win rate of Duisburg (56.25%), Cottbus's performance in their home ground tips the balance in their favor, especially considering the odds of 2.33 from Pinnacle which suggests a slightly favorable outcome for them. The odds for Duisburg at 3.0 also indicate a less likely victory, aligning with their weaker away performance.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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