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Best odds
2.04
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.04u

Graded on FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FC St. Pauli Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.04
Result
Won
Graded score
FC St. Pauli 2-1 1. FC Heidenheim

Why the model called it

History

FC St. Pauli, despite a modest overall win rate of 15.38%, has a slightly better performance at home with a 16.67% win rate. The odds from Unibet (NL) at 2.04 for FC St. Pauli suggest a stronger likelihood of a home win compared to the 4.3 odds for 1. FC Heidenheim. Given the home advantage and the comparative odds, FC St. Pauli appears to be the more likely winner in this Bundesliga matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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