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Best odds
1.57
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on FC Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — AZ Alkmaar Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.57
Result
Lost
Graded score
FC Zwolle 3-1 AZ Alkmaar

Why the model called it

History

AZ Alkmaar, despite playing away, shows a solid form with a 50% win rate in away games and an overall win rate of 46.67%. The odds of 1.57 from FanDuel further support their favoritism against FC Zwolle, whose odds of 6.2 indicate a much lower probability of winning. Considering the league context and the significant difference in odds, AZ Alkmaar is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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