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Best odds
1.48
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.48u

Graded on Fiorentina 2-1 Dynamo Kyiv

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Fiorentina Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.48
Result
Won
Graded score
Fiorentina 2-1 Dynamo Kyiv

Why the model called it

History

Fiorentina, playing at home, shows a strong win rate of approximately 67% both at home and overall, indicating a robust performance in their familiar setting. In contrast, Dynamo Kyiv's away win rate is significantly lower at 25%, suggesting they struggle in away games. The odds from Betfair also heavily favor Fiorentina at 1.48, reflecting their higher probability of winning this UEFA Europa Conference League match. This combination of home advantage, current form, and market odds leads to a higher confidence in Fiorentina securing a win.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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