Flamengo are the clear pick here. The market has them around 1.40, with draw and Coritiba far less favored; in the last 12 hours Flamengo's odds drifted slightly in their favor while Coritiba's moved higher. This lines up with roughly a two-thirds chance of a Flamengo win. Home advantage in a league like Brazil’s can tilt tense fixtures, and Flamengo should control the tempo here.
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