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Best odds
1.98
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.98u

Graded on Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Fluminense Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.98
Result
Won
Graded score
Fluminense 1-0 Mirassol

Why the model called it

History

Fluminense, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 60%, which is significantly higher than their overall win rate. Mirassol, despite a decent away win rate, faces long odds at 4.5, indicating a lower probability of winning according to the market. Given the home advantage and the disparity in odds, Fluminense is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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