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Best odds
1.97
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.97u

Graded on Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Greuther Fürth

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Fortuna Düsseldorf Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.97
Result
Won
Graded score
Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Greuther Fürth

Why the model called it

History

Fortuna Düsseldorf, despite a modest overall win rate of 25%, shows a slightly better performance at home with a win rate of 12.5%. Greuther Fürth, on the other hand, has an identical overall win rate but struggles more on the road with only a 25% win rate in away games. The odds favor Fortuna Düsseldorf at 1.97, indicating a higher probability of a home win, which aligns with their slightly better home performance compared to Fürth's away challenges. Betting on Fortuna Düsseldorf seems more promising given these factors.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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