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Best odds
1.90
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.90u

Graded on Frosinone 2-1 Spezia

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Frosinone Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.90
Result
Won
Graded score
Frosinone 2-1 Spezia

Why the model called it

History

Frosinone, playing at home, has a significantly stronger win rate (57.14% at home) compared to Spezia's away win rate of 28.57%. Additionally, Frosinone's overall win rate this season is 62.5%, which is more than triple Spezia's overall win rate of 18.75%. The odds of 1.9 for Frosinone further reflect their favorable position in this matchup, indicating a higher probability of a home win. Given these statistics, Frosinone stands out as the more likely victor in this encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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