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Best odds
1.65
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.65u

Graded on FSV Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FSV Mainz 05 Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 85/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.65
Result
Won
Graded score
FSV Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor

Why the model called it

History

FSV Mainz 05, playing at home, shows a strong performance with a 100% win rate in their home games, which significantly influences their favorability in this matchup. The odds of 1.65 for Mainz to win reflect their higher probability of success compared to Samsunspor, whose odds of 5.75 suggest a much lower chance of an upset. Given Mainz's solid home form and the substantial odds difference, they are the likely victors in this UEFA Europa Conference League match.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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