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Best odds
2.40
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on FSV Mainz 05 0-1 SC Freiburg

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — FSV Mainz 05 Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 82/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.40
Result
Lost
Graded score
FSV Mainz 05 0-1 SC Freiburg

Why the model called it

History

Mainz 05 at home look the most likely winner. The market backs Mainz as the favorite with best odds around 2.40 (roughly a 41% implied chance), while Freiburg is the clear second option and the draw sits around 3.1–3.3. Backing for Mainz has held steady, whereas Freiburg and the draw show less consensus, suggesting a clearer edge for Mainz. Home advantage can matter in this league, and Mainz will want to capitalize against Freiburg.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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