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Best odds
2.20
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Go Ahead Eagles Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.20
Result
Lost
Graded score
Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Fortuna Sittard

Why the model called it

History

Go Ahead Eagles, playing at home, have a stronger home win rate of 42.86% compared to Fortuna Sittard's away win rate of 12.5%. Despite a lower overall win rate, their home advantage and better performance in home settings make them the more likely victors. The odds from BetMGM also reflect this, pricing Go Ahead Eagles as favorites at 2.2, indicating a higher probability of winning.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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