Brazil Série BFinal
Goiás WinGoiás vs Chapecoense Prediction · Match Result
Best odds
1.83
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Goiás 1-3 Chapecoense
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Goiás Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.83
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Goiás 1-3 Chapecoense
Why the model called it
Goiás, playing at home, has a strong home win rate of 64.29%, significantly higher than their overall win rate of 51.85%. This suggests a robust home advantage, which is crucial in league games like Brazil Série B. The odds of 1.83 for Goiás to win reflect this advantage and indicate a higher probability of victory compared to the 5.2 odds for Chapecoense, which suggest a less likely upset. Given these factors, Goiás is the more probable winner in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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