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Best odds
2.12
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.12u

Graded on Goiás 1-0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Goiás Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.12
Result
Won
Graded score
Goiás 1-0 Grêmio Novorizontino

Why the model called it

History

Goiás, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of about 64%, significantly higher than their overall win rate. This home advantage is crucial in Brazil's Série B, where teams often perform better in familiar settings. The odds of 2.12 for Goiás also suggest they are the favorites in this matchup, indicating a higher probability of winning compared to Grêmio Novorizontino, whose odds are at 3.9. Given these factors, Goiás is the more likely victor in this encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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