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Best odds
2.23
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.23u

Graded on Grêmio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Grêmio Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.23
Result
Won
Graded score
Grêmio 2-1 Atletico Mineiro

Why the model called it

History

Grêmio emerges as the favorite in this matchup, with the market giving them a normalized implied probability of around 44%. The odds have seen a slight decrease, indicating a stable but slightly strengthening confidence in Grêmio's chances. Despite some disagreement among bookmakers, the strong consensus on Grêmio's lower odds compared to the other outcomes suggests they are more likely to win. In the competitive landscape of Brazil's Série A, home advantage often plays a crucial role, which could further bolster Grêmio's chances.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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