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Best odds
2.24
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Hamburger SV 2-1 VfB Stuttgart

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — VfB Stuttgart Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.24
Result
Lost
Graded score
Hamburger SV 2-1 VfB Stuttgart

Why the model called it

History

VfB Stuttgart is favored by the odds at 2.24, suggesting a higher probability of winning against Hamburger SV. The home team's overall win rate this season is notably low at approximately 18%, and even their home win rate is only 40%, which does not instill confidence against a presumably stronger Stuttgart side. Given these statistics and the market odds, Stuttgart appears to be the more likely victor in this Bundesliga matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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