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Best odds
2.58
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Hamburger SV 3-2 SC Freiburg

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — SC Freiburg Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 78/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.58
Result
Lost
Graded score
Hamburger SV 3-2 SC Freiburg

Why the model called it

History

SC Freiburg look the market favorite here, with the lowest price among the three outcomes (around 2.4). HSV has meaningful backing as the home side, but Freiburg still carries the stronger implied probability and the draw sits at longer odds. Odds have drifted modestly higher for Freiburg in the last 12 hours, suggesting some profit-taking, though the core signal remains intact. In the Bundesliga, a compact, disciplined away performance often tilts tight fixtures in favor of the better-structured side.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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