HNK Rijeka, playing at home, has a significant advantage with a home win rate of 50%, compared to their overall win rate of 25%. Despite the odds of 2.09 indicating a somewhat close match, Rijeka's home performance suggests a stronger likelihood of securing a win against NK Celje, whose odds of 4.0 imply a lower probability of victory. The home advantage and the disparity in implied odds make Rijeka the more likely victor in this UEFA Europa Conference League match.
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