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Best odds
2.32
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Independiente 1-1 Estudiantes

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Independiente Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.32
Result
Lost
Graded score
Independiente 1-1 Estudiantes

Why the model called it

History

Independiente is priced as the favorite with a normalized implied probability of 43.1%, compared to Estudiantes at 23.8% and a draw at 33.1%. The market shows low disagreement on Independiente's odds, indicating a stronger consensus among bookmakers. Despite a slight drift in their odds from 2.2 to 2.15, the stable market movement and the lowest spread percentage among the outcomes suggest a more reliable prediction for Independiente's victory.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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