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Best odds
2.25
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.25u

Graded on Juve Stabia 1-0 Südtirol

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Juve Stabia Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.25
Result
Won
Graded score
Juve Stabia 1-0 Südtirol

Why the model called it

History

Juve Stabia, playing at home, has a significantly better win rate at home (50%) compared to Südtirol's overall away win rate (12.5%). Despite the odds being lower for Juve Stabia at 2.25, their home advantage and stronger form in this setting suggest a higher likelihood of securing a win. The odds reflect this probability, making Juve Stabia the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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