Kocaelispor are the clear favorite here. The market prices them around 1.95 (best as low as 2.08), while the draw sits near 3.3 and Fatih Karagümrük around 3.7, so outright win is the most likely outcome. Although Kocaelispor’s odds have inched up, they still hold the strongest implied probability and the other two outcomes lack enough market support. A home fixture in Turkey often advantages the host, giving Kocaelispor a further edge.
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