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Best odds
1.96
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.96u

Graded on LDU Quito 2-0 Sao Paulo

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — LDU Quito Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.96
Result
Won
Graded score
LDU Quito 2-0 Sao Paulo

Why the model called it

History

The odds heavily favor LDU Quito, with a price of 1.96 compared to Sao Paulo's 5.1. This significant difference suggests that the market views LDU Quito as much more likely to win, likely due to the home advantage in the high-altitude conditions of Quito, which can be challenging for visiting teams. Additionally, playing in the Copa Libertadores, teams often perform strongly at home due to the passionate support and familiarity with local conditions.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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