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Best odds
1.85
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on León 2-1 Cruz Azul

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Cruz Azul Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.85
Result
Lost
Graded score
León 2-1 Cruz Azul

Why the model called it

History

Cruz Azul appears to be the stronger team in this matchup, with an overall win rate of 52.38% compared to León's significantly lower 17.65%. Additionally, Cruz Azul's away win rate of 40% is nearly double that of León's home win rate of 22.22%. The odds of 1.85 for Cruz Azul further solidify their position as favorites, indicating a higher probability of winning against León, whose odds stand at 4.5. Given these statistics and odds, Cruz Azul is the more likely victor in this Liga MX encounter.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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