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Best odds
2.32
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Lorient 1-0 Lyon

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Lyon Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.32
Result
Lost
Graded score
Lorient 1-0 Lyon

Why the model called it

History

Lyon, as the away team, is favored by the odds at 2.32 compared to Lorient's 3.35. Despite playing away, Lyon's advantage is likely reflected in their overall quality and league standings. Lorient's home win rate this season is moderate at about 43%, but their overall win rate of just over 21% suggests they struggle consistently. Lyon's odds and Lorient's poor form make Lyon the more probable victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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