Ligue 1 - FranceFinal
Best odds
1.68
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.68u
Graded on Lyon 2-1 Brest
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Lyon Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.68
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Lyon 2-1 Brest
Why the model called it
Lyon, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 75%, indicating a significant home advantage. Despite their overall win rate being 50%, their performance at home is notably better. The odds of 1.68 for Lyon to win reflect this advantage and are the lowest among the options, suggesting the market also views them as the likely victors. Brest, with much higher odds at 5.75, is considered a less probable winner, aligning with the expectation that Lyon, bolstered by their home support, should secure a win.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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