La Liga 2 - SpainFinal
Best odds
2.52
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Málaga 2-1 Almería
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Almería Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.52
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Málaga 2-1 Almería
Why the model called it
Almería, with an overall win rate of 52.94% and an away win rate of 44.44%, holds a statistical advantage over Málaga, whose overall win rate is just 33.33% and home win rate matches Almería's away win rate. Despite the match being at Málaga's home ground, Almería's superior form this season makes them the more likely victor. The odds of 2.52 for Almería also suggest a reasonable probability of success, indicating a good value bet.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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