Won+0.68u
Graded on Mali 0-1 Senegal
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Senegal Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.68
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Mali 0-1 Senegal
Why the model called it
Senegal, with odds of 1.68, is the clear favorite in this matchup against Mali, who are significantly less favored with odds of 7.2. This disparity in odds suggests a strong market consensus on Senegal's superiority, likely due to their stronger squad and consistent performance in international competitions. Given the importance of the Africa Cup of Nations and Senegal's track record, their likelihood of winning is considerably higher, justifying a higher confidence in their victory.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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