La Liga - SpainFinal
Athletic Bilbao WinMallorca vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction · Match Result
Best odds
2.34
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Athletic Bilbao Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.34
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Mallorca 3-2 Athletic Bilbao
Why the model called it
Athletic Bilbao, despite playing away, is favored with odds of 2.34 compared to Mallorca's 3.85. Mallorca's home win rate this season is only 37.5%, indicating struggles at home, which contrasts with the higher confidence the market shows in Bilbao. Given these factors, Bilbao is more likely to secure a win in this La Liga matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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