Brazil Série AFinal
Best odds
2.43
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+1.43u
Graded on Mirassol 3-0 Sao Paulo
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Mirassol Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.43
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Mirassol 3-0 Sao Paulo
Why the model called it
Mirassol, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 63.64%, significantly better than Sao Paulo's away win rate of 18.18%. Despite Sao Paulo's overall better performance in the league, Mirassol's advantage at home and their decent overall win rate of 47.83% make them the more likely victor in this matchup. The odds offered for Mirassol at 2.43 also suggest a reasonable probability of winning, aligning with their strong home form.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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