Serie B - ItalyFinal
Best odds
2.42
Market
Match Result
Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Lost-1.00u
Graded on Modena 1-2 Venezia
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Modena Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 2.42
- Result
- Lost
- Graded score
- Modena 1-2 Venezia
Why the model called it
Modena, playing at home, has a strong home win rate of 62.5% this season, which is significantly better than Venezia's away win rate of only 12.5%. Despite both teams having an overall win rate of 50%, Modena's home advantage and Venezia's poor performance on the road tilt the odds in favor of Modena. The odds of 2.42 for Modena also reflect a higher probability of winning compared to Venezia's 3.4, indicating a better value bet on the home team.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
Comments
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