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Best odds
3.75
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on Moreirense FC 2-2 Famalicão

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Moreirense FC Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
3.75
Result
Lost
Graded score
Moreirense FC 2-2 Famalicão

Why the model called it

History

Moreirense FC, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 80%, which is significantly higher than Famalicão's away win rate of 60%. Despite the higher odds for Moreirense FC, their home advantage and solid performance in home games suggest a better likelihood of winning. The odds of 3.75 indicate a lower market expectation, which might be undervaluing their strong home form, making them a valuable pick in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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