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Best odds
2.12
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.12u

Graded on Moreirense FC 1-0 Tondela

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Moreirense FC Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 65/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.12
Result
Won
Graded score
Moreirense FC 1-0 Tondela

Why the model called it

History

Moreirense FC, playing at home, shows a significantly stronger form with a home win rate of 57.14% compared to Tondela's away win rate of 28.57%. The odds of 2.12 for Moreirense FC further suggest a higher probability of winning, aligning with their better overall performance in the league. Given these factors, Moreirense FC stands out as the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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