Won+0.38u
Graded on Nacional 1-2 Benfica
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Benfica Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 90/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.38
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Nacional 1-2 Benfica
Why the model called it
Benfica is heavily favored with odds of 1.38, indicating a strong likelihood of winning against Nacional. Nacional's home win rate is only 20%, and their overall win rate is just over 27%, which does not inspire confidence against a top team like Benfica. Given these factors, Benfica's chances of securing a win are significantly higher, justifying a high confidence level in their victory. Remember to bet responsibly and consider the risks involved in gambling.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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