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Best odds
1.95
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.95u

Graded on Napoli 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Napoli Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.95
Result
Won
Graded score
Napoli 2-1 Sporting Lisbon

Why the model called it

History

Napoli, playing at home in a UEFA Champions League match, is priced at 1.95, indicating a stronger likelihood of winning compared to Sporting Lisbon's odds of 4.6. Home advantage in such a high-stakes competition typically plays a significant role, and the odds suggest that the market heavily favors Napoli. Given these factors, Napoli is the more probable winner, though the competitive nature of the tournament suggests a moderate level of confidence.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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