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Best odds
1.69
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.69u

Graded on NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — NEC Nijmegen Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.69
Result
Won
Graded score
NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Why the model called it

History

NEC Nijmegen, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 66.67%, significantly higher than Sparta Rotterdam's away win rate of 50%. The odds from Betfair also heavily favor NEC Nijmegen at 1.69, indicating a higher probability of winning. Given the combination of home advantage and current form, NEC Nijmegen is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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