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Best odds
2.22
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Lost-1.00u

Graded on NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — NEC Nijmegen Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.22
Result
Lost
Graded score
NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Ajax

Why the model called it

History

NEC Nijmegen, playing at home, has a strong home win rate of about 71%, which is a significant factor in soccer. Despite Ajax typically being a strong team, the odds favor NEC Nijmegen at 2.22, suggesting that the market also leans towards a home advantage in this matchup. Given the combination of NEC's solid home performance and the favorable odds, NEC Nijmegen is the more likely victor in this Eredivisie clash.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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