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Best odds
2.30
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.30u

Graded on Notts County 3-1 Oldham Athletic

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Notts County Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.30
Result
Won
Graded score
Notts County 3-1 Oldham Athletic

Why the model called it

History

Notts County, playing at home, has a distinct advantage, especially in the context of League 2 where home teams often perform better due to familiar surroundings and local support. The odds of 2.3 for Notts County suggest they are the favorites, albeit not overwhelmingly so. This indicates a higher probability of a home win compared to Oldham Athletic's odds of 3.5, which reflect a less favorable outlook for the away side. Given these factors, Notts County is more likely to secure a win.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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