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Best odds
2.05
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.05u

Graded on Notts County 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Notts County Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.05
Result
Won
Graded score
Notts County 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

Why the model called it

History

Notts County is priced as the favorite with a median odds of 1.95, translating to an implied probability of about 47%. The market shows low disagreement on Notts County's odds, indicating a strong consensus among bookmakers. Despite a slight drift in odds from 1.975 to 1.95, the movement is stable, and the best available odds of 2.05 still suggest a significant edge over the other outcomes. Given these factors, Notts County is the most likely winner.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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