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Best odds
2.22
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.22u

Graded on Notts County 2-1 Swindon Town

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Notts County Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Model confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.22
Result
Won
Graded score
Notts County 2-1 Swindon Town

Why the model called it

History

Notts County is priced as the favorite with a median odds of 2.11, translating to an implied probability of approximately 47%. The market shows low disagreement on Notts County's odds, indicating a strong consensus among bookmakers. Despite a slight drift in their odds from 2.14 to 2.11, the movement is stable, suggesting no significant shifts in market confidence. Swindon Town, despite higher best odds, faces high bookmaker disagreement, reducing the reliability of their odds as a predictor. The draw, while stable, is less likely than a Notts County win based on the odds.

Signals used

  • Market signals

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