Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.
Won+0.77u
Graded on Palermo 1-0 Spezia
Pick record
- Pick
- Match Result — Palermo Win
- Model
- The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
- Confidence
- Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
- Published
- Best odds at publication
- 1.77
- Result
- Won
- Graded score
- Palermo 1-0 Spezia
Why the model called it
Palermo, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 55.56%, significantly better than Spezia's away win rate of 28.57%. The odds of 1.77 for Palermo to win reflect their favorable position, especially when compared to Spezia's odds of 5.4, indicating a lower probability of an away win. Given these factors, Palermo is the more likely victor in this matchup.
Signals used
- Calibrated confidence
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