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Best odds
1.77
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.77u

Graded on Palermo 1-0 Spezia

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Palermo Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.77
Result
Won
Graded score
Palermo 1-0 Spezia

Why the model called it

History

Palermo, playing at home, shows a strong home win rate of 55.56%, significantly better than Spezia's away win rate of 28.57%. The odds of 1.77 for Palermo to win reflect their favorable position, especially when compared to Spezia's odds of 5.4, indicating a lower probability of an away win. Given these factors, Palermo is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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