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Best odds
2.10
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+1.10u

Graded on Perth Glory 0-1 Sydney FC

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Sydney FC Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 70/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
2.10
Result
Won
Graded score
Perth Glory 0-1 Sydney FC

Why the model called it

History

Sydney FC appears to be the stronger choice in this matchup. Despite Perth Glory's home advantage, their home win rate this season is only 25%, which is significantly lower than their overall win rate. Sydney FC, with lower odds of 2.1, is favored by the market, suggesting a higher probability of winning. This aligns with the general expectation that away teams with such odds are likely to perform well, especially against teams with weak home records.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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