Raków Częstochowa look like the more probable winner here. Fiorentina and Raków are priced around 2.6, while the draw sits around 3.35, so the market favors a result rather than a draw, with Raków having the stronger signal (strong consensus). As the home side in a European tie, Raków typically benefits from atmosphere and familiarity, making a narrow win plausible.
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