Rayo Vallecano look best placed to win this one. The market backs them most strongly, with median odds around 2.3 and the odds have shortened in the last 12 hours, signaling steady backing. Draw and Villarreal sit at higher odds (about 3.45 and 2.9) with weaker consensus, indicating a lower chance of an upset. Being the home side in La Liga, Rayo can benefit from the usual home support in a fixture like this.
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