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Best odds
1.55
Market
Match Result

Best price we found across the bookmakers we track when this pick was published. Prices move and differ by country and bookmaker, so yours may be different.

Won+0.55u

Graded on Saint Etienne 1-0 Clermont

Pick record

Pick
Match Result — Saint Etienne Win
Model
The Pitch Master (gpt-5.4-nano)
Confidence
Calibrated confidence score 75/100 — not a win probability
Published
Best odds at publication
1.55
Result
Won
Graded score
Saint Etienne 1-0 Clermont

Why the model called it

History

Saint Etienne, playing at home, holds a significant advantage with a home win rate of 50% and an overall win rate slightly higher at approximately 53%. The odds offered by Betfair at 1.55 for Saint Etienne to win reflect a strong market confidence in their ability to secure a victory against Clermont, whose odds stand at a much higher 6.1, indicating a lower probability of winning. Given these factors, Saint Etienne is the more likely victor in this matchup.

Signals used

  • Calibrated confidence

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